Shifting Timelines in AGI Development

This chapter explores the evolving dialogue around Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) timelines, reflecting on optimistic predictions from AI industry leaders regarding imminent advancements. It highlights key changes in messaging and a surge in confidence about achieving AGI, particularly through innovations in reinforcement learning and economies of scale. The discussion also covers the role of computational power and recent progress in model training methodologies, with a focus on the emergence of new players like DeepSeq.