Global Economic Fragility and the Implications of the Japanese Carry Trade

Carry trade is back! In reality, it never left. Not because of BoJ rates hikes or threats, rather all the growing evidence the US isn't at risk of recession, so many indications showing it's here. Oil and gasoline are crashing. Curves unwinding. Forward rates project...a total mess. In time for all of the fun, JOLTS shows job openings plunge and layoffs jump.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

CNBC Job openings fell more than expected in July in another sign of labor market softening
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/04/jolts-july-2024.html

CNBC Nikkei sees worst day since early August sell-off; Taiex leads losses in Asia as tech stocks fall
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/04/asia-pacific-markets-set-to-fall-after-recession-fears-heighten-nvidia-tumbles.html

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