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Daniel R. DeNicola, “Understanding Ignorance: The Surprising Impact of What We Don’t Know” (The MIT Press, 2017)

New Books in Philosophy

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Understanding Rain Probability: Misconceptions and Realities

This chapter examines public interpretations of a 20% chance of rain, revealing widespread misconceptions about what this means. It highlights a survey by NPR that uncovers how misunderstanding statistical probabilities can impact everyday decisions, such as whether to take an umbrella.

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