Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class V Part II [9.22.15]
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Introduction
Less than 10% of the people that Dan Gardner surveyed were willing to do it anonymously. The character, the character to me from just like a user perspective is the desire to be right and the desire to announce that I'm right. So maybe there is a pseudo anonymous model whereby you only disclose that in my profile,. And we don't disclose my accuracy level. But then internally, you give better and more good data about for example, with Sirius or Ns.
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