The Problems With Arrival Rate Forecasting

The same two things that played us with the split rate forecasting, I believe are still valid for, for arrival rate forecasting. They're all kind of, they're kind of the same. It's really going to come down to trying to figure out what's,. what's the simplest model that we can use and give us an as accurate an answer as possible when there's a little effort as possible. The second that we start piling assumptions on top of assumptions ontop of assumptions, that's where we're going to get in trouble.