4min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

Lessons From The Asian Financial Crisis | Russell Napier

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

The Effects of Capital Account Issues on Thai Corporate Earnings

The central bank defends the exchange rate, so interest rates start to go up. Now that has a direct impact on property. Thailand is not a rich country but you find it quite deep into society. There was some form of speculation going on. The higher interest rates then did have a negative wealth effect which did lead to lower levels of consumption. But this one was so big and so pervasive that it fed through in the GDP.

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