Russia is a very small economy by measured by g d p, but theire energy super power by any metric. Russia produces around 11 million barrels of oil a day, and they only use three and a half million. The best case is that it's a split e ukraine into two pieces, and nato and russia are ar kandof at some sort of detant. It would change the world order as far as political part partners like we would probably start to use china more as a bridge to get fuel, energy commodities into the world economy via china instead of directly via russia.