Daniel Kahneman and Gary Klein collaborated on a paper trying to understand when does intuition work. It turned out a lot of it is just they were studying different peoples intuitions. If an environment is completely random, like 100% random coin flips, then there really is no expertise that can be gotten. So I found that as a helpful construct when thinking about whether to trust the expertise of people in different fields. Dave: One technique I want to run by you that I've spent literally, you know, at least 1,000 to 2,000 hours on this technique and have found it really helpful.

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