The Intelligence from The Economist cover image

Laïcité, extrémité, fragilité: our French-election series in full

The Intelligence from The Economist

00:00

Saint Bre Saufere Is an Interesting Example of a France Election Battle Ground

Our election model for the french election this april is similar to our previous election models because the model is based on poles. Our lead poling gooroo morris has been deep in the numbers for the forecasting tool the economist unveiled yesterday. We couldn't find anything else that's as reliable a predictor as the poles. So we can quanify how accurate they've been on any day of historical campaigns. And what have the ten million simulations so far? Yes, so in these ten million foe elections of sorts, as it stands to day, we have Emmanuel mcron winning about 79%. No there's a probability roughly one and five percent that he's not going to win, according

Transcript
Play full episode

The AI-powered Podcast Player

Save insights by tapping your headphones, chat with episodes, discover the best highlights - and more!
App store bannerPlay store banner
Get the app