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The Value Perspective with James Montier

The Value Perspective

CHAPTER

The Narrative Fallacy and the Average Investment Philosophy

We have a really bad habit of what Taleb calls the narrative fallacy which is kind of believing what we read. We tend to believe them to be true and then sometimes we go and check whether they actually are or not. Dan Gilbert did a huge amount of work in this field and he showed that we are essentially Spinoza that we really do believe what we read and therefore stories matter. There was some great experiments done on trials in one trial they allowed the information to pop up randomly through the course of a trial as it genuinely would in another they plotted out a story and had the prosecution lay out the story of the the events now in both cases the same information was revealed but it's

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