4min chapter

Odd Lots cover image

What the Fed's Big Balance Sheet Unwind Means for Markets

Odd Lots

CHAPTER

What Does That Mean for Treasury Yields?

Banks aren't necessarily buying treasuries because they think that interest rates are going to go up or down. They're buying them because they have to buy treasuries to satisfy liquidity coverage ratios and regulatory requirements. So what does that actually mean when it comes to treasury yields? When we look at a treasury yield, now, how much information is that giving us about investors expectations for the future direction of the economy and things like that? It's really hard to look for my perspective to look at price and infer economic conditions.

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