
Stephen Davies - What Is Global Catastrophic Risk?
The Curious Task
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Global Catastrophic Risk
One way wehave to think about g c r is we need to make bets rather than forecasts. The catastrophic risk here is not climate change per se, it's the possibility of an abrupt switch in what you might call the planet thern stat from a cooler to mar setting. And that would be truly disastrous. Would have immensely destructive effects on modern civilization. So taking that possibility and thinking about what the results would be - i actually think its lot higher than that for the sake of argument... I'm glad you use the turn or phrase 'would like to take that bet? That way clarifies your mind'
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