3min chapter

FiveThirtyEight Politics cover image

The Poll That Ended Dilbert

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

Is Wisconsin Supreme Court the Most Consequential Election of 2023?

The two liberal candidates combined for 54% of the vote and the two conservative candidates combined for 46%. In 2016 in the primary, the kind of liberal candidates together beat the conservative block by 11 points. But then the conservative won the general election by five points. The convention wisdom is that liberals are fairly heavy favorites here, right? We'll find out soon enough.

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