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No Sleep Till Iowa

FiveThirtyEight Politics

CHAPTER

Introduction

In this chapter, they discuss the upcoming Iowa caucuses and the Republican primary contest. They introduce Ann Selzer, a renowned pollster known for publishing outlier polls that accurately reflect eventual election results. They mention her previous high-profile instances, such as accurately predicting Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton in Iowa in 2008 and Trump leading by seven points in 2020.

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