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Sleeping Beauty
Elga: If you tell sleeping beauty that the coin came up tails and ask her, is it monday or t Tuesday, she's going to be awakened twice. She should give equal credences to its being heads or being tails, if she knows it's mONDAY right? And therefore you have equal credences for tales mMonday. Tails end tuesday, and head's end m Monday. There's only one way to make three numbers equal, which is to make them one third each. I don't know wheter or not that was a very clear explanation of the point. You can wickapetiat. It's there. Or you can read elga