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Is There a Recession?
I think the evidence is that e soft landings are what george bernard shaw said of second marriage, the triumph of hope over experience. That we have an underlying rate of inflation, not of the eight or nine % headline figure you see. A side effect of restraining demand in a way brings down inflation, is likely to be recession. I think the likelihood is that that will happen, or inflation will not decline. And if we attempt to postpone it too long by not being determined to reduce inflation, inflation and expectations will become much more firmly entrenched. Then it will become that much more painful and difficult to reduce. Inflat if you've over indulged and over consumed,