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10. Peter Wildeford on Forecasting
The Inside View
Is There a High Risk of Invasion From Puton?
Memente: I wish that i had been as active forecasting then as i was now. As early as december of last year, i had put like a 55 to 60 per cent chance that puten would launch an invasion. People were also surprised with putin getting really angry and starting to lunch neklo treds. And he started pushing the limits of people were expecting.
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