
3 – Interview with Eliezer Yudkowsky
The Bayesian Conspiracy
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How to Be a Better Predictor
I haven't had a significant average impact on the median human being on earth. But there's really like a very large number of readers who like acquired more accurate beliefs and probably more accurate beliefs finding skills about some important things. There's like a real sense in which left one was taken down a very hard problem. It's like getting people to make better predictions and it was like striking this very hard problem with a very soft bath. So what's a harder bath? I'm not sure I have much of an improved answer of that like CFAR workshops. Good judgment project, extended participation, betting in prediction markets.
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