Let's say china stays on the side lines potin neither wins nor loses an ukrane. It just drags on for months and then maybe years. The ucranian people refuse to ever go along, short of just a russian soldier's going door to or han shooting tem you know,. They can't take over a country if the country refuses to go alongand there's no puppet regime that any ucranians ever obeys. Look at what happened in afghanistan. They ended up with 20 years of war and a massive human disaster.
Michael Shermer speaks with Professor of International Relations, Dr. Jacek Kugler, about his Power Transition Theory which states that an even distribution of political, economic, and military capabilities between contending groups of states is likely to increase the probability of war; peace is preserved best when there is an imbalance of national capabilities between disadvantaged and advantaged nations; the aggressor will come from a small group of dissatisfied strong countries; and it is the weaker, rather than the stronger power that is most likely to be the aggressor.
Shermer and Kugler discuss: Power Transition Theory and how it applies to Putin and Russia today; the relationship between a nation’s economic strength and its political power; where China figures into the future of the new world order; what happens if Putin succeeds in Ukraine? What if he fails?; What should the U.S. should have done in response to the annexation of Crimea, intervention in Syria, the destruction of Georgia and Chechnya, the imprisonment and murder of Russian dissidents?; What should NATO do now or in the near future?; and more…