3min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

Deconstructing Macro Narratives About Inflation, Bonds, and Bitcoin | Huw Roberts, Quant Insight

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

The Dollar Smile Theory and Asset Prices

The dollar does well at two extremes of the curve when things are really bad. It's kind of a safe haven status in risk of times. And then obviously when the US is growing great guns and outperforming everything, it tends to perform as well. The sweet spot for other currencies versus the dollar is in the middle part of that kind of curve.

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