4min chapter

This Week in Intelligent Investing cover image

Confidence vs. Overconfidence | Idea Generation and Getting to ”No” Quickly

This Week in Intelligent Investing

CHAPTER

Investing - Is Everything a Probability?

S sorrow says that every investment is a testable hypothesis. The most interesting times are those where you know you're right, but the market doesn't realize it yet and what you're looking at absolutely confirms everything. Too much confidence is far more dangerous than too little confidence in markets. You need to take a thesis that some one else may have presented to you and make it your own. It's my single biggest source of return in my book.

00:00

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode