Yeu were an early voice predicting that russian forces would not necessarily exhaust themselves, but would effectively be, at least temporarily a spent force while they had to regroup, re equip, sort of fall back a little bit, possibly, or at least stop advancing. What's your view of that? And if you could comment on how that relates to boots, on number of boots on the ground, as well as the role that russian reservists and conscripts are starting to play, or might continue to play, in this war? Sure,

so about two weeks ago, i wrote and predicted, ha, i thought russian military had around three weeks of fight in them before old atrition makes em increasingly combat and effective, and i suffer from exhaustion. Looking at where we are to day, i actually think that that was a fair prediction. I think that that that was generally more right than not. I think we've seen em stall out on two of three fronts. And te they're trying, just trying to maintain in most of these areas with with fitful progress at best. Only one front that you can focus on on the state of russian forces wereat large. So if they're able to hold and consolidate, there's possibility they can bring up fresh units, fresh battalion tactical groups from other parts of the country. The initial force that went in already had conscripts in it and had some reserve ofsenit, but they were also a lot of more alite and hirand units that got chewed up as well, right? Sure. So there's a couple of ways to look at the future of his conflict. I'll get down a second. It is very true that i think the best of the russian military in general has already gote to this war, right? And and the mampire material that they're going to funnel into this conflict further on is probably not going to be as good as the units we've seen feature at the opening of the war. And for a host of reasons, which recovered another podcass well, they've definitely not done well. All right. I think un impressive as the best, the best, understated way to maye describe russian performance. Uh, so, eafe. They do av more reserves. They do more units. And i'll be frank, there's a lot of open sore immatry that shows they're pulling battalion tactical groups from other parts of the country, most likely to replace their losses or to help em consolidate their whole territory that theyh've so far progressed through, right? So there is more of the russian militern iant clarify that point, because some folks can't think. Maybe russias use 70 % available battalion tactical groups. That's a measure within the russian armed forces, based on the differences in readiness within their overall military it's probably fair to say that maybe around forty % of overall russian ground forces have thus far been commit or used in this fight. But there's more russian military power available, i want to clarify that, than and sos important folks differentiate between maybe the russian military and the current fight being a spent force in the coming days, and the russian military at large being a spent force, which are two different conversations.