Brian Szytel reports a strong market follow-through day, with the Dow up 612 points, the S&P 500 up 1.5%, and the Nasdaq up 2%, driven largely by a ~7% drop in WTI oil on positive Iran deal developments, which also pushed the 10-year yield down 7 bps to about 4.35%. Earnings season is going better than expected with positive CapEx/AI themes, dividend increases, and upbeat guidance; private credit results have also beaten expectations despite negative media narratives. He notes the market’s year-to-date gains (Dow ~4.25%, S&P ~8%, Nasdaq ~11%+) and observes that only about half of S&P names are above the 200-day moving average, though semiconductors look frothy and expensive. He highlights ADP private payrolls of 109,000 vs. 99,000 expected and wage growth of 4.4% for job stayers and 6.6% for job changers. He explains that prices still move when U.S. exchanges are closed due to global listings and near 24-hour futures trading.
00:00 Market Rally Recap
00:49 Earnings Season Strength
01:42 Valuations And Internals
02:16 Semis Froth Check
03:01 Oil And Macro Risks
03:20 ADP Jobs And Wages
03:57 Why Markets Move After Hours
05:10 Wrap Up And Sign Off
Links mentioned in this episode:
DividendCafe.com
TheBahnsenGroup.com
