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Against Bayesianism — David Deutsch

The Joe Walker Podcast

CHAPTER

The Future of Knowledge Is Unpredictable

Future knowledge is unpredictable, he says. If you'd been trying to predict the future of e, f a energy production in 19 hundred, e wouldn't have included nuclear energy because radioactivity had only just been discovered and it wasn't known that it could be used to produce energy. So then er, and there was no way of predicting that it was going nuclear energy was going to be discovered. That's logical contradictionyou can't know knowledge that you don't know. And these examples illustrate that knowledge can be erroneous as well.

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