Forward Guidance cover image

Oil Will Dethrone The Fed (Here’s Why) | Harris Kupperman & Porter Collins

Forward Guidance

00:00

The Fed's Thinking and Doing

The current terminal Fed funds rate is about, I think, 4.6% in the spring of 2023. If they stop right here and CPI is 8 and 9 and they stop at 3 or 3 and a half, I think the 30 year just detonates. Once you go above about 100% of debt to GDP, every decision you make sucks. There's no good decisions. The only good solution is to take GDP growth up to 10%. That's the only way you solve this thing. Otherwise, you just want this hamster wheel,. which is why countries like Argentina can never get their act in order because everything they do is screwed in some way.

Transcript
Play full episode

The AI-powered Podcast Player

Save insights by tapping your headphones, chat with episodes, discover the best highlights - and more!
App store bannerPlay store banner
Get the app