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SI218: Trend Following to the Rescue ft. Richard Brennan

Top Traders Unplugged

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Is There a Way to Increase the Quote Unquote Look Back of the Kelly Calculator?

I was just curious, could you think about Kelly in the same way? Look, I'd say no and the reason is this. It's not recognizing the regime changes that occur during that 30-year sample. In these different regimes, you get a variation away from the average of the entire result. Because it's a highly leveraged position size formula, that deviation from the total can really get risk of ruin happening.

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