2min chapter

Odd Lots cover image

Are We About to See the Shortest Housing Cycle Ever?

Odd Lots

CHAPTER

The Base Case Forecast for House Prices

A headship rate is if you take everybody who's called it 25 to 29 years old, picture a 25-year-old, they're living in an apartment with three other people. The headship rate of that very small four-person cohort, 25%. If all of them move to their own apartments, all of a sudden you have 400% heading exactly. Through your late 20s, early to mid-30s, they climbed to the 55% where they came in.

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