The Hedgehogs Are Not as Good at Predicting as Themselves

Some of those really narrow, you know what tetlock refers to hedgehogs? They actually are really good at sounding very authoritative quickly on t v. So i think it makes for entertaining listening, but not accurate prediction, which is troubling. You could see this even in public life, where maybe somebody who's a health expert wasn't the best at creating like the covid policy because they at it from a very health related lanc.

Transcript

Play full episode

Remember Everything You Learn from Podcasts

Save insights instantly, chat with episodes, and build lasting knowledge - all powered by AI.