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Ep 128: Steven Pinker’s ”Rationality” Chapter 5 ”Beliefs & Evidence (Bayesian Reasoning” Remarks & Analysis

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What Is in Store for the World?

Super forecasters, super fore casters who can predict the probability of a terrace attack within the next ye in a certain place and whether or not thy get it right. And tho look around the world at base rits. I's just having a good explanation of the causes of terrorist attacks and the regions where they tend to happen. That's one thing. As for superfor casters more broadly in the economy, well, we've talked about this before, the super forecastes are using basing rasing? Well, they might claim to be, but as i've said, like if you take, let's say er a thousand people at the beginning of the nineties,.

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