The Post-Payrolls Debate: Growth, Inflation, And Rate Cuts | Weekly Roundup
Forward Guidance
Intro
The hosts kick off a special roundup edition featuring a knowledgeable guest on capital flows. The chapter sets a collaborative tone as they reflect on past interactions and prepare for an engaging economic discussion.
This week we discuss the November jobs report, the Fed’s cutting path, and the goldilocks scenario for 2025. We also delve into the different R* models, MicroStrategy, the Milken moment for crypto, and much more. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:44) Post-Thanksgiving Catch Up
(03:33) November Non-Farm Payrolls
(08:31) Economic Slowdown or Stability?
(10:20) Debating The Fed’s Cutting Path
(16:51) Hot Economy Vs Growth Scare
(24:24) Macro Analysis & Shorting Oil
(30:35) Ads
(32:38) We Are In Goldilocks
(36:29) Stocks Vs Commodities
(38:12) Inflation Turning Point
(39:40) Different R* Models
(46:07) History Of Junk Bonds
(48:11) Milken Moment For Crypto
(52:11) Monetizing Volatility
(53:26) Bitcoin & Evolving Options Market
(56:40) MicroStrategy Risks
(01:03:23) Enhancing Yield With Volatility
(01:06:13) Debating Bitcoin’s Future
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
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