2min chapter

Flirting with Models cover image

Jim Masturzo - Tactical Asset Allocation (S3E4)

Flirting with Models

CHAPTER

The Gordon Growth Model and Mean Reversion

Our investment beliefs are centered around the idea that long term mean reversion is the most persistent way to extract excess returns. So our capital market expectations, again, in the long term, reflect that idea. We write a lot and talk lod about the cape ratio, price over average real ten year earnings as a model for business cycle smoothed earnings. And we look at reversions of that too. Iti want to be a little careful about getting too far ahead of myself. Bcause i know we'll dive into some of these weeds in a little bit.

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