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How to have a positive impact with your career (with Benjamin Hilton)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

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Navigating Belief Updates

This chapter explores the intricacies of evidence-based belief updating, highlighting the dangers of overconfidence and overreacting to emotional experiences. It discusses the need for balancing emotional responses with objective data, as well as the importance of evaluating the validity of logical arguments and recognizing hidden assumptions. Through various examples, including labor economics, the speakers advocate for a thoughtful and cautious approach to changing beliefs based on new information.

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