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Survivorship Bias, Base Rates, and Librarians

Idea to Startup

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Base Rates Tell a Different Story

Mike Downey: Be weary of survivorship bias and skeptical of tactics that were effective in a different time. Check base rates so you work on something that'll actually have a good chance of working, he says. Every startup that's successful today was able to do it through some means,. But always remember that the interactions are what's important, not the tactic.

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