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The Everything Rally

MRKT Matrix

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The S&P 500's Negative 8.4% Six Month Annualized Change

The S&P 500 is a part of this index, so the fact that stocks have gone up is included in here. And we're still at a negative 8.4% six month annualized change. If you look at that little dotted line down 3%, there has been a recession to follow. So this is one of those indicators that even if I turned bullish, this would keep me up at night. Same with yield curving versions, same with contracting PMIs.

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