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The Fed’s Hawkish Walk Back

The Breakdown

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The Fed's Soft Landing - What Happened?

The major data point which has caused a rethink on the strength of the economy was Friday's non-farm payroll report for January. This matters extra because Powell and the Fed have gone out of their way to say that employment and tightness in the labor market is their biggest concern at the moment. There had been some indicators that wage growth was cooling but then all of a sudden they get this big blaring statistic.

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