Joe Carlsmith on How We Change Our Minds About AI Risk
Future of Life Institute Podcast
The Failure Mode of Human Beliefs in AI Risk
So is there anything special about the way we update our beliefs about AI risk? I think there are a variety of ways that humans diverge from ideal Bayesianism. And in fact, so many that I think we should be cautious in assuming too quickly we know the right way to apply sort of abstract Bayesian norms to our lived actual kind of messy human epistemic life.
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