Navigating Historical Bias in Modern Financial Analysis

Whenever you see long-term stock market averages quoted, chances are they come from Elroy Dimson’s research. Together with Mike Staunton and Paul Marsh, Dimson co-authored The Triumph of the Optimists, the landmark study of 101 years of global investment returns—now expanded to cover more than 125 years of market history. He also helped create the FTSE 100 Index and advised Norway’s sovereign wealth fund. So, what does their research tell us about future returns? Can we really trust the numbers? And is American exceptionalism over?

Here’s our compound calculator: https://makingmoney.email/compound-interest-calculator

Here’s the video I made that Elroy talks about in the episode: I Analysed 100 Years of Index Funds, This Is What I Found

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