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Bill Bernstein: Revisiting The Four Pillars of Investing

The Long View

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The Fed's Negative Correlation Between Stocks and Bonds

What happened in 2022 was almost three generations. I think that if you had a long US Treasury bond fund, you lost about 30 percent or 35 percent of your real return. That is not likely to go on very much longer because of the actions of the Fed. When people are not afraid of inflation, whenever the interest rates fall, that will drive up stock prices.

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