13min chapter

Top Traders Unplugged cover image

SI305: Building A Hedge Fund Allocation ft. Alan Dunne

Top Traders Unplugged

CHAPTER

Predicting Market Movements and Global Macro Events

The chapter delves into the complexities of predicting market movements amidst global macro events, including the recent memo by Howard Marks highlighting market unpredictability. Discussions revolve around events such as the assassination attempt on Trump, the Republican convention, VP announcement, and potential changes related to Jerome Powell, analyzing their impact on markets and the prevailing uncertainty. The conversation also explores the shifting odds of Trump's reelection, potential economic implications of a Trump victory, and factors like deficits, tariffs, trade policies, and the implications for the business environment.

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