THINKING, FAST & SLOW (DANIEL KAHNEMAN) - Listening books
Top Audiobooks
The Fallacy of Plausibility
In the original experiment with eight outcomes, 85% of graduate students had made the same mistake. As in the Mueller-Lyer Illusion, the fallacy remains attractive even when you know the truth. The confusion between probability and plausibility may play a pernicious role in the frequent use of scenarios as tools of forecasting.
00:00
Transcript
Play full episode
Remember Everything You Learn from Podcasts
Save insights instantly, chat with episodes, and build lasting knowledge - all powered by AI.
