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The Panic of the Plague
There's no pinning it down. It's raging and rampaging all over the place once it gets this grip in Constantinople and then moves. Procopius says that some of those who survived, although in general they were very bad at predicting who would survive and who wouldn't. If your bubo kind of really swelled up and then separated and lots of pus came out, then that was a good sign and you'd probably survive. So you get these moments of kind of ancient medical understanding amidst this sort of panic and difficulty with the conceptual mix that they're facing.