How Much of Your Prediction Did You Get Right?

The last year has brought, for everyone in this room an enormous amount of change. None of which actually was predicted accurately one year ago. And yet we go back to that same mistaken intellect that loves to sell the idea that it can forecast every and we ask that intellect to forecast the next month, the next year, the next ten years. Come on, if you hired a stockbroker who got things as wrong as your intellect gets things when it tries to forecast, you'd have hired that person years ago.