3min chapter

Simplifying Complexity cover image

The El Farol problem

Simplifying Complexity

CHAPTER

The Problem With Predicting When to Show Up at L4O

L4O is a group of 100 people who meet once a week. They use 20 simple rules to predict attendance based on previous weeks' numbers. But the decision making processes that those 60 people are using, are potentially all really different. If there were a solution that predicted correctly it would self negate - nobody would come.

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