The Average Absolute Error of Polling Averages in Competitive Senate Elections

There weren't any major upsets in Senate or gubernatorial races. The average absolute error of polling averages in competitive Senate elections now looks likely to come in around 2.5%. About half the expected error since 1998, and polls looked to have underestimated Democrats marginally by about 0.5 to one points. In a small close knit community in Kansas, a group of men started meeting in secret. They were plotting an attack on a local Muslim community that could have killed hundreds.