The Macro Trading Floor cover image

Is The Recession Already Over?

The Macro Trading Floor

00:00

The Tailwind Behind the Weaker Dollar From a Cycle Perspective

Powell can easily do that if he wants by hammering back the message that these animal spirits need to be calmed down effectively. Second is more of a jump risk, it's sort of an insurance thing because in recessions actually, the dollar doesn't necessarily weaken immediately because of the leveraging. If you have some default cycle, some unexpected venues from a credit perspective, some deleveraging episode, that means you have to bid up your dollars and make sure you can repair your balance sheets basically. So that could be a one off event that could push the dollar higher - not easy to foresee in the short term.

Transcript
Play full episode

The AI-powered Podcast Player

Save insights by tapping your headphones, chat with episodes, discover the best highlights - and more!
App store bannerPlay store banner
Get the app