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20min chapter
Bits + Bips: The Real ‘Trump Trade’ & Why Trump's World Liberty Financial Was a Flop - Ep. 723
Unchained
Financial Markets and Political Predictions
This chapter examines the contrasting roles of polling averages and prediction markets in assessing political candidates, with a spotlight on Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. It discusses the impacts of whale investors, market manipulation, and the financial incentives influencing political betting. Furthermore, the conversation highlights the importance of recent economic data and interest rate expectations, exploring how these factors intertwine with market behavior and election forecasting.
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Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode