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Bits + Bips: The Real ‘Trump Trade’ & Why Trump's World Liberty Financial Was a Flop - Ep. 723

Unchained

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Financial Markets and Political Predictions

This chapter examines the contrasting roles of polling averages and prediction markets in assessing political candidates, with a spotlight on Kamala Harris and Donald Trump. It discusses the impacts of whale investors, market manipulation, and the financial incentives influencing political betting. Furthermore, the conversation highlights the importance of recent economic data and interest rate expectations, exploring how these factors intertwine with market behavior and election forecasting.

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