2min chapter

The Security Analysis Podcast cover image

Frank Vasquez - Risk Parity Investing for the DIY Investor

The Security Analysis Podcast

CHAPTER

The Best Valuation Metrics for Predicting Stock Returns

The equity risk premium is the difference between what equities are performing and treasury bonds. It's only about 17% correlated with actual outcomes, according to Yoda of valuation. He also said that in order to draw any conclusions about using one of these metrics for predictive purposes, you would need more like 150 years of data.

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