The Worst Forecasters in the World

Experts don't do better than just the average smart person. In fact, in many cases, the experts do worse than the average smart personsa that's very counter intuitive. And then did they once do better, like a hundred years ago, but now the experts are on decline because they to specialized or sor how do you think that is changing overtime? That's interesting. I don't totally know the answer to that, because this research was a 20 year project, and before that, i don't think there was anything even remotely approaching this rigor. So i think it would be hard to compare what happened before that. I think there be reason to believe that they're getting worse in

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