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Keeping it Simple | Ep. 20: Secular, Cyclical... it's all a fubar fugazi!

Keeping it Simple with Simplify Asset Management

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Is the Fed Going to Normalize Inflation?

I saw that inflation was heading down. And I'm seeing now as far as my forward indicators are that this downward momentum and inflation is not going to stop it's going to keep going. My, my rolling forecast would be for the next three to four months. And I would be looking at that sequence continuously to basically revise when I see inflation bottoming and turning up. At the moment I don't see any evidence of that therefore I think that the Fed is going to normalize inflation to their target sooner than what most people believe. That hasn't been a time that this signal has been triggered other than 67 with the economy wasn't already in a recession.

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