IL20: How to Survive the Current Fourth Turning ft. Neil Howe
Top Traders Unplugged
Introduction
A discussion on the significance of major changes occurring during times of crisis and upheaval, and an introduction to a historian's new book on generational cycles and the current fourth turning.
Best-selling author and renowned historian Neil Howe joins the show to talk about his New York Times’ bestselling book The Fourth Turning Is Here. Neil believes history moves in generational cycles that last about the length of one long human life. Each cycle has four eras - Turnings - that always arrive in the same order and last about twenty years. We are now midway through a Fourth Turning which is a time of exceptional upheaval and conflict. Previous Fourth Turnings happened during the Great Depression and WWII, the American Civil War and the American Revolution. The good news is a society that successfully navigates a Fourth Turning emerges reborn - more equal, more optimistic and more united. We discuss the implications of this era for financial markets, why it will be the Millennial generation that leads us through the coming conflict and what will characterize the world that emerges afterwards.
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Episode TimeStamps:
02:15 - Introduction to Neil Howe
03:43 - What characterise each turning?
17:53 - A generation cliff
25:18 - The importance of the financial crisis in 2008
27:55 - Cycles are non linear
30:08 - Every crisis has a catalyst
35:56 - A polarised and divided world
41:29 - Can conflict bring us together?
48:30 - The outlook for war and conflict
52:12 - A millennial revolution
58:18 - Will boomers give up?
01:07:48 - How will society change?
01:19:57 - Key takeaways from Niels
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